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Just wondering...

Discussion in 'Combined Army' started by tox, Oct 17, 2019.

  1. tox

    tox SorriBarai
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    Yesterday i used Sheskiin with Red Fury in Fireteam.
    I spent 5 order shooting with her. Once against a Helot, four against Armand.
    5 times. 25 dice. ZERO criticals.

    Someone has time to spare to calculate the chances of that?
     
  2. Zewrath

    Zewrath Nordic Master

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  3. tox

    tox SorriBarai
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    OMG... Seriously?

    I have l little credit with the Dice God...
     
  4. Zewrath

    Zewrath Nordic Master

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    Read my edit, forgot a 0.
    You were certainly unlucky but not THAT unlucky
     
  5. Sabin76

    Sabin76 Well-Known Member

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    Pretty easy for those wanting to do it themselves:

    90% chance of failure (no crit) on 25 independent events (25 total dice rolled) = 0.90^25 = 0.0718 = 7.18% chance
     
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  6. DaRedOne

    DaRedOne Morat Warrior Philosopher
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    Heh, I used Sheskiin in five games in a row and didn't get a single crit with her either. That's just some crazy math probabilities, mate. Don't worry, there will be a game where she will crit in every single shot she makes and will feel extremely OP because of that.
     
  7. Sabin76

    Sabin76 Well-Known Member

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    Careful with that Gambler's Fallacy there ;)
     
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  8. Obeisance

    Obeisance Well-Known Member

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    That happened the first time I played her. Every time she did anything, she crit. Even dodging spec fired grenades out of LOF. She crit like 12 times that game and I stopped playing SEF, went back to TAK, took a break.

    Now I'm playing Vanilla and running her as a Rambo. She gets a couple crits here and there, but she usually just wins on weight of numbers.
     
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  9. Leviathan

    Leviathan Hungry Caliban

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    First time I ran her post-update, she was in a full core and took 10 orders to kill a single Unidron.
     
  10. Hachiman Taro

    Hachiman Taro Inverted gadfly

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    I like that people are now complaining she doesn't crit enough. lol
     
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  11. Vaulsc

    Vaulsc Well-Known Member

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    You guys should see the tournament batreps I did recently involving sheskiin in a 5-man core link. She lost so many f2f rolls in the active turn it's not funny xD

    In one game, she fired at a single helot at good range. 18's on 5d vs 11's on 2d (or whatever the helot bs is). Sheskiin loses and fails three saves in a row against the fire damage.

    We can clearly conclude that she is underpowered and needs some kind of ranged accuracy buff.
     
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  12. Hachiman Taro

    Hachiman Taro Inverted gadfly

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    I mean I once moved into CC with Achilles vs a Chasseur, dodging the light flamethrower ARO on the way in. Failed the dodge on a 15 and four ARM saves in a row to burn to death and put me in LOL. Shit happens in this game, and I love it haha
     
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  13. sorniak

    sorniak Well-Known Member

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    The game is not about shooting...too random. Like being in Casino, you always have a chance to loose :(
     
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  14. toadchild

    toadchild EI Aspect

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    I have yet to trigger Sheskiin's crit-on-one ability. I've gotten regular crits with her, though.
     
  15. Hachiman Taro

    Hachiman Taro Inverted gadfly

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    Last night I didn't roll a single crit with her but did roll a 1 when I was on 21s haha
     
  16. Sabin76

    Sabin76 Well-Known Member

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    Sheepskin gonna sheepskin...
     
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  17. DustGod

    DustGod Well-Known Member

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    I've watched those a couple of times Both of them the ones from 4 or 5 months ago and the latest one... I'm hesitant to want to theory craft with her as she's so expensive...
    I'd like to see you do a second army review of Shasvastii TBH Vaulsc... Now that things are up and running and you've been playing with SEF. I wonder what your thoughts are.
    I'm Interested in Your thoughts on Cadmus Coordinated Drops... Seems like Dropping in Helots with Chest Mines to me